Author: Christoph Fieberg
Date: 03:35:42 07/13/01
Probabilities for achieving the first place:
Player Either shared
or clear first place Clear first place Jeff Sonas*
Kramnik (2802) 38,11% 25,02% 33%
Anand (2794) 34,17% 22,55% 25%
Morozevich (2749) 17,37% 9,68% 9%
Adams (2744) 16,20% 9,59% 5%
Leko (2730) 12,87% 6,74% 4%
Topalov (2711) 8,39% 3,54% 3%
Based on the simulation of 10.000 tournaments with "sim-turn.bas".
You can find my updated programmes (versions 1.0) with description here:
http://www.chessbase.com/events/dortm01/fieberg1.htm
*Jeff Sonas is the statistican for Kasparov Chess. See:
http://kasparov.com/serve/templates/folders/show.asp?p_docID=17053&p_docLang=EN
Regards,
Christoph
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