Author: Chris Carson
Date: 10:38:58 02/26/03
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On February 26, 2003 at 13:37:43, Chris Carson wrote: >Here is a look at time, mp, speed, SSDF, and FIDE. Note that S/W improvement is >a vital component to increasing ELO, however, since I do not know how to >quantify the SW ELO improvements from the HW speed up over time, I can not break >it out, thus it is included in the over all ELO improvement. > > FIDE SSDF >Date Mp GHZ SI2K ELO ELO > >Jun-78 8086 0.01 0.10 1443 >Feb-82 286 0.01 0.45 1650 >Sep-85 386 0.02 1 1760 >Apr-89 386 0.03 2 1833 2025 >May-90 486 0.03 4 1951 2139 >Aug-92 486 0.07 10 2077 2265 >Mar-94 P 0.09 24 2198 2382 >Jan-97 Pmmx 0.20 49 2296 2475 >Aug-97 PII 0.30 113 2412 >Jun-98 PII 0.45 175 2472 2697 >Nov-99 PIII 0.50 254 2523 >Nov-99 PIII 0.73 335 2561 >Mar-01 AMD 1.2 443 2600 2768 >Apr-01 PIV 2 722 2667 >Jan-03 PIV 3 1099 2725 >Jun-04 6 2000 2807 >Jan-06 12 4000 2903 >Jun-07 24 8000 2999 >Jan-09 48 16000 3094 >Jun-10 96 32000 3190 >Jan-12 192 64000 3285 >Jun-13 384 128000 3381 > >Note: This is an estimate or opinion only. The SSDF SEM is 30 and you can add >20 more for my regression estimate for a total SEM of 50 points. > >Have fun and enjoy, hope the colums line up when I submit this. > >Carson
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