Author: Chris Carson
Date: 10:37:43 02/26/03
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Here is a look at time, mp, speed, SSDF, and FIDE. Note that S/W improvement is a vital component to increasing ELO, however, since I do not know how to quantify the SW ELO improvements from the HW speed up over time, I can not break it out, thus it is included in the over all ELO improvement. FIDE SSDF Date Mp GHZ SI2K ELO ELO Jun-78 8086 0.01 0.10 1443 Feb-82 286 0.01 0.45 1650 Sep-85 386 0.02 1 1760 Apr-89 386 0.03 2 1833 2025 May-90 486 0.03 4 1951 2139 Aug-92 486 0.07 10 2077 2265 Mar-94 P 0.09 24 2198 2382 Jan-97 Pmmx 0.20 49 2296 2475 Aug-97 PII 0.30 113 2412 Jun-98 PII 0.45 175 2472 2697 Nov-99 PIII 0.50 254 2523 Nov-99 PIII 0.73 335 2561 Mar-01 AMD 1.2 443 2600 2768 Apr-01 PIV 2 722 2667 Jan-03 PIV 3 1099 2725 Jun-04 6 2000 2807 Jan-06 12 4000 2903 Jun-07 24 8000 2999 Jan-09 48 16000 3094 Jun-10 96 32000 3190 Jan-12 192 64000 3285 Jun-13 384 128000 3381 Note: This is an estimate or opinion only. The SSDF SEM is 30 and you can add 20 more for my regression estimate for a total SEM of 50 points. Have fun and enjoy, hope the colums line up when I submit this. Carson
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